Book Review: The Elements of Power: Gadgets, Guns, and the Struggle for a Sustainable Future in the Rare Metal Age (by David Abraham)

Picture source

n the Autumn of 2011, my father and I were approached to present a lecture to faculty and a group of undergraduate environmental studies majors at a major university here on the East Coast of the United States. The topic was rare earths. What struck me was the fact that nobody was taking notes using a pen and paper – each student was typing away on his or her Mac or PC. While the presentation went well, we were astonished by the lack of knowledge the students had regarding the global supply chain risks inherent in many of the metals and minerals used in the technology that we take for granted. Were the students aware that the cobalt in their computer was quite likely not ethically sourced? This generated several questions. Would they be willing to pay more for a product if they could be sure people weren’t exploited along the entire supply chain? What about the fact that many of these metals and minerals are critical for national defense and China (a strategic adversary) essentially controls the bulk of production of many of them? There were no easy answers to these questions then and there are no easy answers today. But the general ignorance of the underlying supply chain dynamics and the strategic and tactical threats have likely increased despite a horribly depressed metals market.

Unfortunately, these students were likely a microcosm of the broader populace who are unaware of the destabilizing effects of foreign mineral dependence on supply chains for rare metals. For this reason, David Abraham’s excellent new book titled “The Elements of Power – Gadgets, Guns, and the Struggle for a Sustainable Future in the Rare Metal Age” couldn’t have come at a better time.

Mr. Abraham is the director of the Technology, Rare and Electronic Metals (TREM) Center. With a background on Wall Street as well as a stint in Washington DC at the White House Office of Management and Budget, his varied background gives him a unique perspective. He lays out the issues we face as we head into what he describes as the “Rare Metal Age” – a time when minor metals many have never heard of become increasingly important in sustaining or increasing our quality of life as well as maintaining our safety.

Mr. Abraham’s work struck a chord with me. It aligns perfectly with our current world view surrounding convergence of lifestyles on a global scale. His thesis states that as the world becomes more connected and technology becomes more ubiquitous, we’ll need more of these rare metals. For the sake of clarity, Mr. Abraham provides a broader definition of rare metals rather than what many of you may be familiar with including niobium, lithium, or gallium. This book is a call to action as he highlights the commercial and militarily risks associated with indefinite resource dependence well into the future. This may be exacerbated by the fact that as the world turns increasingly towards renewable energy which are enormously dependent on rare metals to function properly, the potential for supply chain disruptions may increase.

Mr. Abraham’s breezy verve allows him to tackle such a multi-faceted topic with relative ease. His firsthand accounts of visits to Niobium mines in Brazil or rare earth processing facilities in Estonia not only make you feel as if you were present, but help elucidate the scope of the challenge regarding resource dependence.

The book is organized in such a way that the reader understands the challenges facing each part of the rare metal value chain from exploration and development, to mining, to refining, to trading, to manufacturing of end products like magnets. Because of this, different readers are likely to have certain chapters of the book hit home more than others. That was certainly the case with me when Mr. Abraham discusses the junior mining sector and the low probability of success. Because of this, Mr. Abraham quotes a market participant stating that most junior mining executives are just “mining the market”, meaning they line their own pockets at the expense of shareholders (remember Molycorp?). While this is a generalization, it is mostly true and Mr. Abraham ought to be commended for exposing this uneasy truth that many in the sector won’t acknowledge. Despite this lack of trust and utter value destruction, Mr. Abraham states:

“The concern now – due to the paucity of investment since the financial crisis and the long lead time needed to develop rare metal projects – is that sooner or later, our visions of a high-tech future will collide with the reality that we didn’t invest enough in ensuring an adequate supply of critical materials.”

Well put and very true, but with the capital markets shut down for mining investment and institutional and retail investors still nursing their wounds from the end of the commodity super cycle, any investment in the critical metals sector will have to come from somewhere else. Given that most metals prices have crashed and more pain is likely to come, it would be interesting to see how many of these junior mining projects are economic at current prices or how the entire market, from producer to explorer has adjusted to this new reality. Will the invisible hand of the market allow these small markets to self-correct? Perhaps this is fodder for a follow up book.

Thankfully, this book isn’t all problems and no solutions as Mr. Abraham devotes the end of the book to exploring how the public and private sector can and must work together to begin to establish a critical materials supply chain that is less dependent on foreign countries. Recycling is also given a close examination, but as with anything else, economics matters most and the take away is that much of the opportunity to recycle critical materials from electronic waste is not worth the trouble.

Make no mistake – this is an excellent read. Perhaps the only thing stopping a full blown resource conflict is the twin headwinds we’ve written about so much recently in excess capacity (Mr. Abraham does an excellent job of elucidating this with REEs) and slack global demand. However, this structural disinflationary paradigm won’t last forever and this means that the current lull in rare metal demand won’t last forever either. Who is preparing now for this turn? Mr. Abraham’s tome should be a wake-up call to all of us – from policy makers, to investors, to end users to prepare for looming volatility in an increasingly integrated and volatile future. Anyone concerned about how we balance sustainability with a high-tech future should read this book.  


Chris Berry
President of House Mountain Partners LLC and Co-Editor of Disruptive Discoveries Journal

Chris Berry is a well-known writer, speaker, and analyst. He focuses much of his time on Energy Metals – those metals or minerals used in the generation or storage of energy. He is a student of the theory of Convergence emanating from the Emerging World and believes it will have profound effects across the globe in the coming years. Active on the speaking circuit throughout the world and frequently quoted in the press, Chris spent 15 years working across various roles in sales and brokerage on Wall Street before shifting focus and taking control of his financial destiny.He is also a Senior Editor at Investor Intel. He holds an MBA in Finance with an international focus from Fordham University, and a BA in International Studies from The Virginia Military Institute. Please visit and for more information and registration for free newsletter as well as his disclaimer.  

Dr. Michael Berry  
Co-Editor of Disruptive Discovery Journal
Michael Berry was born in Colombia, raised in Canada and has now lived in the US for many years. After earning a Ph.D. from Arizona State University (specializing in investment finance), he was a professor at the Colgate Darden Graduate School of Business Administration at the University of Virginia. He followed winning the Wheat First Endowed Chair at James Madison University in Harrisonburg, Virginia. Over time his career evolved into managing small and mid cap value portfolios for Kemper Scudder and Milwaukee based Heartland Advisors. During the past 8 years he has been a guest lecturer at the Federal Reserve twice each year and in 2010 he testified to U.S. Congress on natural resource policy, specifically strategic mineral supply chain development.

Our Thinking and What We Do

We are believers in the theory of Convergence. As the quality of life between East and West slowly merges due to advances in technology, continued urbanization, and    changing demographics, opportunities across numerous industries will arise which we can take advantage of. We aim to point out the strategic opportunities in the commodity space which arise from these themes. 

Throughout history, no society has sustained a higher quality of life without access to cheap commodities or materials. As global population increases, putting stresses on resource availability, efficiency and technology must come to the fore to continue to provide for a higher quality of life.  The looming convergence of lifestyles between the emerging world and the developed world is a fact we must all understand and accept in order to chart a sustainable path forward for humanity.

The Disruptive Discoveries Journal is a free weekly newsletter we write focused uncovering and interpreting both the opportunities and challenges in the natural resources, nanotech, and clean tech sectors resulting from the belief mentioned above.

The material herein is for informational purposes only and is not intended to and does not constitute the rendering of investment advice or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities. The foregoing discussion contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (The Act).  In particular when used in the preceding discussion the words “plan,” confident that, believe, scheduled, expect, or intend to, and similar conditional expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements subject to the safe harbor created by the ACT.  Such statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties and actual results could differ materially from those expressed in any of the forward looking statements.  Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to future events and financial performance of the company which are inherently uncertain and actual events and / or results may differ materially.  In addition we may review investments that are not registered in the U.S. We cannot attest to nor certify the correctness of any information in this note. Please consult your financial advisor and perform your own due diligence before considering any companies mentioned in this informational bulletin.

The information in this note is provided solely for users’ general knowledge and is provided “as is”. We at the Disruptive Discoveries Journal make no warranties, expressed or implied, and disclaim and negate all other warranties, including without limitation, implied warranties or conditions of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose or non-infringement of intellectual property or other violation of rights. Further, we do not warrant or make any representations concerning the use, validity, accuracy, completeness, likely results or reliability of any claims, statements or information in this note or otherwise relating to such materials or on any websites linked to this note. I own no shares in any companies mentioned in this note and have no financial relationship with any company mentioned.

The content in this note is not intended to be a comprehensive review of all matters and developments, and we assume no responsibility as to its completeness or accuracy. Furthermore, the information in no way should be construed or interpreted as – or as part of – an offering or solicitation of securities. No securities commission or other regulatory authority has in any way passed upon this information and no representation or warranty is made by us to that effect. For a more detailed disclaimer, please click here.

Write a comment

25.11.2015 19:57:39
Chris Grove of Commerce Resources Talks Rare Earth Processing and the Ashram Deposit

Grove talks about what the company has been up to lately, and also delves into some specifics regarding Commerce’s Ashram rare earth deposit.
Likes | 10
Dislikes | 0
Name: Chris Berry
Canada Symbol:
Germany Symbol / WKN:
Shares Issued & Outstanding:
Phone: +1 917 886 0229

Anmeldung zum Newsletter:

Newsletter deutsch:
Newsletter englisch:
Sie erhalten nach der Anmeldung eine E-Mail mit einem Bestätigungslink. Erst nach Erfolgreicher Bestätigung sind Sie für den Newsletter angemeldet.


english/german - german/english